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Post by kirinke on May 23, 2021 20:55:28 GMT
And this is why I don't believe the Lab theory nonsense.
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Post by 3catcircus on May 23, 2021 21:01:54 GMT
And this is why I don't believe the Lab theory nonsense. So you think it's more likely that a bat virus found in bats 1000 miles away somehow teleported into a different bat species in a wet market that then infected people, rather than a careless lab tech working with viruses infected themselves and then spread it to others... Especially when we have data showing that people in agricultural professions most likely to get infected by animals carrying viruses that affect both species actually have fewer cases of infection *because* they are constantly around the animals and have antibodies.
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Post by kirinke on May 23, 2021 21:06:18 GMT
Um.... Your room full of crazy vs Reality: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemicYes I know it's wikipedia, but it's a hell of a lot better (and saner) than your foam at the mouth explanation. Jesus 3cat. Earth is calling and Pluto is a lonely orbit.
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Post by 3catcircus on May 23, 2021 21:27:37 GMT
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Post by kirinke on May 23, 2021 21:48:06 GMT
Nothing you put down for sure. Especially after that foam at the mouth stunt. Because you are batshit insane!
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Post by 3catcircus on May 23, 2021 22:13:19 GMT
Nothing you put down for sure. Especially after that foam at the mouth stunt. Because you are batshit insane! So now you're turning on Saint Fauci after you've been worshipping at his altar for the last year? You keep digging that hole for yourself. You'll soon reach China (pun intended). You're like a deranged mental hospital patient who keeps constructing a false universe for yourself rather than come to grips with reality.
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Post by kirinke on May 23, 2021 22:35:16 GMT
Um no. You're still insane. I don't believe the virus is a vast conspiracy to make Trump look bad. He does that handily all by himself. Seriously. Unleashing a bioweapon that strikes out at everyone including your own people in response to a stupid trade war that hurt the US more than China? That's insane and entirely unbelievable 3cat. Get real.
Even if Fauci isn't convinced the virus was naturally occurring, it certainly wasn't in response to a fucking trade war. There is also the fact that I don't always agree with everything everyone is saying on one side or another. Like I said before, there is no evidence it came from a lab and it is far more likely it came from a natural source and propagated in a natural way and I'm more convinced now that it was a natural phenomena than I was before.
Nice going 3cat.
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Post by Maxperson on May 23, 2021 22:55:24 GMT
I generally don't play long odds unless it's something silly and harmless like the lottery. If scientists say it's highly unlikely something came from those labs, then I tend to believe them unless there is strong supporting evidence saying otherwise. There were respected scientists on both sides in that article you posted. So "scientists" don't just say highly unlikely. There's rational reasoning on both sides of the issue, but you're ignoring one side in ignorance.
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Post by kirinke on May 23, 2021 23:00:20 GMT
I know. But I'll go with the natural explanation (until there's concrete evidence to the contrary), vs the room full of crazy that's 3cat's explanation. Seriously. When your side of the equation has that.... It doesn't do anything to strengthen it. Like I said, it makes much more sense that it came from illegal wild-life trade in unsanitary conditions vs a response to a stupid trade war that China was winning anyway. My god, that's beyond silly.
Or if you want to go with the saner explanation that it was an accident, even then. The wild-life trade angle is a more likely explanation, at least to me. I fully realize it's just an opinion, but it's one that makes much more sense in my mind. It certainly doesn't let China off the hook or make them look good either way. A majorly big ball was dropped and it cracked all over the place. They need to make sure it doesn't happen again.
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Post by Maxperson on May 24, 2021 0:43:29 GMT
I know. But I'll go with the natural explanation (until there's concrete evidence to the contrary), vs the room full of crazy that's 3cat's explanation. Seriously. When your side of the equation has that.... It doesn't do anything to strengthen it. Like I said, it makes much more sense that it came from illegal wild-life trade in unsanitary conditions vs a response to a stupid trade war that China was winning anyway. My god, that's beyond silly.
Or if you want to go with the saner explanation that it was an accident, even then. The wild-life trade angle is a more likely explanation, at least to me. I fully realize it's just an opinion, but it's one that makes much more sense in my mind. It certainly doesn't let China off the hook or make them look good either way. A majorly big ball was dropped and it cracked all over the place. They need to make sure it doesn't happen again.
If you're going to discount a side because of "crazy" people that support it, then you also have to discount the "It came from the wild" theory. There are people every bit as crazy that support that one, too. You can't use "crazy" as a reason to support or discount anything. You have to look at the facts yourself, and in this case the facts that support the wild theory are somewhat stronger than the lab theory, not the long odds you are declaring. You have a few scientists saying long odds, and many more(including ones from MIT and other highly regarded institutions) saying not as probable as the wild theory, but probable enough that it really needs to be investigated.
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Post by kirinke on May 24, 2021 0:56:29 GMT
As I said. It's just my opinion that's it's more likely to come from a natural source than anything else. When there is addition facts that support a lab theory more than the natural source theory, I may change my mind. Until then, the natural source theory holds more water in my opinion. The intentional release theory due to a stupid trade-war is fucking bug-shit nuts though. I flat out refuse to even consider that one.
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Post by evileeyore on May 24, 2021 1:11:12 GMT
The only issue is whether or not the virus was released on purpose. That is the conspiracy and always has been. No, that's a conspiracy and it's highly unlikely. The actual conspiracy is the people directly connected to the Wuhan Lab who all came out almost immediately and claimed it couldn't have come from a lab, the Chinese researchers erasing their data, the Chinese Gov silencing the doctor who was going public early in the virus, etc. That's all an actual conspiracy. It's far more likely they were actually studying man-altered viruses in the hopes of developing the tools to more quickly develop vaccines for the next SARs/COVID outbreak and just bungled the handling of the virus, since the Chinese have an insanely bad reputation for safety. Yup. I've actually secretly suspected my illness Dec 2019 was COVID as it fits all the symptoms, I was sick for three weeks despite being on azithromycin for 10 days (I tested negative for both influenza types), and my sense of smell getting seriously fucked up for half of 2020*. I've just never had the money to go get tested for antibodies to confirm the suspicion. * My sense of smell was actually more sensitive after I got over the 'flu/cold', but I was smelling things weirdly for just over 6 months, like everything that 'smelled bad' normally smelled like diesel or kerosene or cigarettes. I still have a few smells that seem out of whack, but that could just be because I'm not used to smelling those things as my sense of smell has been largely dead the last decade (severally reduced by bad allergies, the allergies haven't gone away, but being slightly stuffed up is no longer interfering with it).
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Post by Maxperson on May 24, 2021 2:31:35 GMT
As I said. It's just my opinion that's it's more likely to come from a natural source than anything else. When there is addition facts that support a lab theory more than the natural source theory, I may change my mind. Until then, the natural source theory holds more water in my opinion. If you had just said that to begin with, we wouldn't have had an issue. You can have the opinion that it's more likely to be from the wild and that you are open to changing your mind if more comes out and that's sane. It was when you kept calling any lab theory a conspiracy theory and as unlikely as a lightning strike or lottery that we gave you a hard time over it. The former is rational thought about the situation. The latter is not Yeah. THAT is conspiracy theory stuff. I'm willing to entertain the accidental release, but not an intentional trade war release. Especially since it hit China first and very hard AND hurt them the most with regard to trade. The Chinese aren't that stupid.
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Post by kirinke on May 24, 2021 11:20:38 GMT
Yeah. I just can't see anybody releasing a bio-weapon like a virus on purpose. It's too omni-directional and fucks up your own side as much (or more) as anyone else's. I mean, the purpose of war is to make the other fucker dead. Not your own people.That was what I was focusing on more than anything. Meh. Miscommunication.
Accidental release is possible, hell the entire wildlife trade theory is pretty much an accidental release theory when you get down to brass tacks, just no lab involved. I'm just going with the more likely scenario, until more facts present themselves. Those wet-markets were/are really unsanitary.
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Post by Maxperson on May 24, 2021 14:38:40 GMT
Yeah. I just can't see anybody releasing a bio-weapon like a virus on purpose. It's too omni-directional and fucks up your own side as much (or more) as anyone else's. I mean, the purpose of war is to make the other fucker dead. Not your own people.That was what I was focusing on more than anything. Meh. Miscommunication.
Accidental release is possible, hell the entire wildlife trade theory is pretty much an accidental release theory when you get down to brass tacks, just no lab involved. I'm just going with the more likely scenario, until more facts present themselves. Those wet-markets were/are really unsanitary.
So if you're going to do it, you release it in America or somewhere else far from home. Not that it will prevent it from coming back to you, but at least you aren't being an abject moron and releasing it literally on your doorstep. You also don't ever release it on purpose unless you already have the vaccine/cure. Of course, things mutate, so even that doesn't really work, making any sort of germ warfare idiotic. My guess is that if it turns out that it did come from the Wuhan facility, they were doing some sort of research trying to find a way to render the virus harmless and this attempt made it worse, and then someone screwed up and it was accidentally released into the masses. By the way the way, this was released yesterday. www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/wuhan-lab-staff-sought-hospital-care-before-covid-19-outbreak-disclosed-wsj-2021-05-23/
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